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  • OPEC Update, September 2021 16 september, 2021
    The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for September 2021 was published this past week. The last month reported in each of the charts that follow is August 2021 and output reported for OPEC nations is crude oil output in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d). In the charts that follow the blue line is monthly […]
  • Water Theft 23 september, 2021
    Preface. As fresh water supplies are depleted worldwide and water crises increase, water theft is becoming more common.  And damage to marine environments as well. It is estimated that between 30% and 50% of the global water supply is stolen … Continue reading →

Bundeswehr och 'Peak Oil'

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Nu kommer det även rapporter om att Bundeswehr, Tyska armen, även dom ser en energikris i faggorna. Men det kanske är lika som i England att man inte vill släppa rapporten helt.

The scenarios outlined by the Bundeswehr Transformation Center are drastic. Even more explosive, politically, are recommendations to the government that the energy experts have put forward based on these scenarios. They argue that ”states dependent on oil imports” will be forced to ”show more pragmatism toward oil-producing states in their foreign policy.” Political priorities will have to be somewhat subordinated, they claim, to the overriding concern of securing energy supplies.

Här är en rätt intressant del under punkt 3.

3.2. Systemic risk whilst crossing the ”Tipping Point”
– Total Liquids production declines
– Short term, the world economy contracts proportionally to the decline of oil supply
– Medium term, the global economic system and every market economy collapse (see also bullet point 4 of my initial post)

Investment will decline and debt service will be challenged, leading to a crash in financial markets, accompanied by a loss of trust in currencies and a break-up of value and supply chains – because trade is no longer possible. This would in turn lead to the collapse of economies, mass unemployment, government defaults and infrastructure breakdowns, ultimately followed by famines and total system collapse

Det finns en längre kommentar på The Oil Drum och ett inlägg här.

’Peak Oil’ and the German Government: Military Study Warns of a Potentially Drastic Oil Crisis – SPIEGEL ONLINE – News – International.

Uppdaterat med en punkt 3 om systemisk risk vilket är väldigt tydlig, vi har behandlat detta förut.

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