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  • Ramping Up Renewables Can’t Provide Enough Heat Energy in Winter 20 september, 2022
    We usually don't think about the wonderful service fossil fuels provide in terms of being a store of heat energy for winter, the time when there is a greater need for heat energy. Figure 1 shows dramatically how, in the US, the residential usage of heating fuels spikes during the winter months. Solar energy is […]
  • By Gaia Gardener: On Our Hall of Denial Mirrors 20 september, 2022
    Today we have another guest post by a member of the un-Denial community, Gaia Gardener, who posted these thoughts on denial as a comment. I thought they were interesting enough to warrant promoting them to a more visible post. Hello friends, thank you for a very interesting discussion about the realities of denial and how […]

Bundeswehr och 'Peak Oil'

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Nu kommer det även rapporter om att Bundeswehr, Tyska armen, även dom ser en energikris i faggorna. Men det kanske är lika som i England att man inte vill släppa rapporten helt.

The scenarios outlined by the Bundeswehr Transformation Center are drastic. Even more explosive, politically, are recommendations to the government that the energy experts have put forward based on these scenarios. They argue that ”states dependent on oil imports” will be forced to ”show more pragmatism toward oil-producing states in their foreign policy.” Political priorities will have to be somewhat subordinated, they claim, to the overriding concern of securing energy supplies.

Här är en rätt intressant del under punkt 3.

3.2. Systemic risk whilst crossing the ”Tipping Point”
– Total Liquids production declines
– Short term, the world economy contracts proportionally to the decline of oil supply
– Medium term, the global economic system and every market economy collapse (see also bullet point 4 of my initial post)

Investment will decline and debt service will be challenged, leading to a crash in financial markets, accompanied by a loss of trust in currencies and a break-up of value and supply chains – because trade is no longer possible. This would in turn lead to the collapse of economies, mass unemployment, government defaults and infrastructure breakdowns, ultimately followed by famines and total system collapse

Det finns en längre kommentar på The Oil Drum och ett inlägg här.

’Peak Oil’ and the German Government: Military Study Warns of a Potentially Drastic Oil Crisis – SPIEGEL ONLINE – News – International.

Uppdaterat med en punkt 3 om systemisk risk vilket är väldigt tydlig, vi har behandlat detta förut.

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